Storm Alert issued at 7 Jul, 2006 18:00 GMT

Typhoon EWINIAR is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours - becoming extratropical
South Korea
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours - becoming extratropical
North Korea
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours - becoming extratropical
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours - becoming extratropical
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours - becoming extratropical
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours - becoming extratropical
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours - becoming extratropical
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours - becoming extratropical

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours - extratropical
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours - becoming extratropical
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours - becoming extratropical
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours - becoming extratropical
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours - becoming extratropical
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours - becoming extratropical
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours - becoming extratropical
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours - becoming extratropical
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours - extratropical
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours - extratropical
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours - extratropical

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 to above 30% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and University College London (UCL). TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.