Storm Alert issued at 10 Jul, 2006 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BILIS is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

Japan

probability for CAT 1 is 20% in about 72 hours

probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours

Taiwan

probability for CAT 1 is 20% in about 96 hours

probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

the Philippines

probability for CAT 1 is 10% in about 96 hours

probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

China

probability for CAT 1 is 10% in about 96 hours

probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)

probability for CAT 1 is 20% in about 96 hours

probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours

T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)

probability for CAT 1 is 20% in about 120 hours

probability for TS is 50% in about 120 hours

Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)

probability for CAT 1 is 10% in about 120 hours

probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours

Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)

probability for CAT 1 is 10% in about 120 hours

probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)

probability for CAT 1 is 10% in about 120 hours

probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)

probability for CAT 1 is 10% in about 120 hours

probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)

probability for CAT 1 is 10% in about 120 hours

probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)

probability for CAT 1 is 10% in about 120 hours

probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)

probability for CAT 1 is 10% in about 120 hours

probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours

Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)

probability for CAT 1 is 10% in about 96 hours

probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours

Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)

probability for CAT 1 is 10% in about 120 hours

probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)

probability for CAT 1 is 10% in about 120 hours

probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Note that

Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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